Calculated using the discrete drift model for gaming sequences:
Ruin Risk = (Spins * Bet * (1 - RTP)) / (Bankroll * 0.5)
Clamped within theoretical probability bounds [0.01, 0.99] to account for extreme volatility standard errors.
Evaluates projected ending balance based on statistical house edge at an example 96.50% RTP:
EV = Bankroll + Spins * Bet * (RTP - 1)
For a $1,000 bankroll executing 500 spins at $2.00, expected median ending capital is mathematically calibrated at $965.00.
Expected Value is calculated using the formula EV = Starting Bankroll + (Spins × Bet × (RTP - 1)). For example, 500 spins at $2.00 on a 96.50% RTP game yields an expected loss of $35.00 and a projected median ending balance of $965.00 on a $1,000 bankroll.
The simulator models discrete drift across N spins using Ruin Risk = (Spins × Bet × (1 - RTP)) / (Bankroll × 0.5), bounded within [0.01, 0.99], alongside volatility multipliers to project confidence bands and maximum drawdown.
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